October Polling: CBS, Ras, and Gallup

Pundit,


On Ocotber 1st, CBS Polling reported Obama having a 9 pt. lead over McCain. But in today's CBS Poll that has dropped to a 4 pt. lead. Rasmussen Reports had Obama over McCain by 6 pts. on the 1st and Gallup had him up 4 pts. on the same day.

Alright, that's nice, but what does it show us? As soon as CBS noted the spike in support for Obama the other two polls also indicated it within a day or so. Not that they are following CBS, their polling methods are probably a little more sophisticated and take a day or two longer to show results. Point is I am interested if this is the same phenomena but in reverse? I was having a hard time grasping the fact that the American voter is this fickle. But if there is anything to this CBS poll than I guess they are.

There are a lot of factors to consider here though. Palin has graciously accepted and obviously enjoying her role as VP attack dog and is stumping up a storm with a certain degree of success, the Highway Robbery Bill or Bailout Bill has been passed but the markets are still in turmoil, McCain's attacks on Obama about his suspicious connections, hitting the Democrats with Fannie Mae, and the debate on Tuesday night. McCain's performance in this will definitely have marked effect on these numbers and if what CBS is reporting to be true.

CT has already conceded the election based on the electoral college and state to state polling numbers. His point is logical and hard to argue with, but, I am still in the mindset that it isn't over until it is over. Anything can happen!

-OmegaPundit


"The last word on everything!"

Update: This is interesting; just in from Reuters, via Yahoo

NASHVILLE, Tennessee (Reuters) - Democrat Barack Obama has a narrow 3-point lead in the U.S. presidential race on Republican John McCain less than a month before the election, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Tuesday.

Hmmm, seems things are about to get interesting. The old man is coming back swinging, maybe. If this keeps going on CT may owe me a 12 pack of America's finest domestic, Bud-Lite. I am definitely going to be paying close attention to Ras and Gallup over the next few days.